Gambling in Cricket I

Most games played just for fun can also be played for money. Lawyers, including the one with 31.4K Followers [Twitter], and Non-Lawyers, paid ample respect and just respect to a game developed on Indian Premier League [IPL]. An esteemed Eashan Ghosh calculated the accuracy of the probabilistic predictions. Mr. Ghosh, phenomenal in his Intellectual Property Law expertise, is a fair man.

‘Ramiz Baba Challenge’ Rules

Ramiz Baba Challengers must disclose their prediction for an IPL Game before the first ball of the game is bowled. While it is discouraged as practice, predictions once entered may be modified up until that first ball is bowled. All predictions must consist of two parts: i) picking a winner and ii) confidence % in the prediction. Predictions must be whole numbers between 51% and 100%. Accuracy of the probabilistic predictions shall be measured by Brier score.

Challengers have 5 ‘leaves’ that may be deployed in course of Games 1 to 60. A ‘leave’ is a non-prediction which keeps a Challenger’s score unaltered. For every non-prediction after 5 games, a Challenger’s score will ‘default’ to a score of 0.300. A good way of avoiding running into 0.300 trouble is to log a ‘default prediction’. Illustration: “Chasing team: 60%”, for instance is a nice, wholesome ‘default prediction’. If a Challenger fails to communicate their prediction before the first ball of a game is bowled, that counts as a ‘leave’ or a ‘default prediction’ or a .300 score [‘default’].

Challengers have 2 ‘free hits’ that may be deployed in course of Games 1 to 56 and not at the knock-out stage [Games 57 to 60]. When deploying a ‘free hit’, a Challenger simply picks a winner along with the magic words ‘free hit’. A correct pick translates into a 0.000 score and an incorrect pick translates into a .250 score. 

Were there any more rules? Yes, of course.

After Game 21, ‘Ramiz Baba Challenge’ also involved (an additional) ‘Ramiz Baba Cup’/Copa Del Ramiz/Coup De Baba/Coppa Ramiza; Challengers were power-paired, March Madness Basketball style, within a section-based structure, Tennis Grand Slam style. After Game 21, I was Rank 5.

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Ramiz Baba Cup’ Rules

If Challenger A opts to ‘leave’ or ‘free-hit’ and Challenger B does not, Challenger B advances to the Next Round. If both Challengers opt to ‘leave’ or ‘free-hit’, both forfeit progress in the Cup and the Opponent, in the Next Round, receives a ‘bye’.

Challengers will, for the Cup Game in question, pick a winner and a confidence %, as usual. If Challenger A picks the winner correctly and Challenger B does not, Challenger A advances to the Next Round. If both Challengers pick the winner correctly, the Challenger with the higher confidence % advances to the Next Round. If both Challengers pick the winner incorrectly, the Challenger with the lower confidence % advances to the Next Round. If both Challengers tie for prediction, the earlier prediction wins if it is correct, and loses if it is wrong.

Challengers can place prediction for a Cup Game, only on the day of the Cup Game [0000 IST]. Challengers can only make one prediction. If the prediction is changed, though the changed prediction counts for Ramiz Baba Challenge, the Challenger is eliminated from Ramiz Baba Cup.

Ramiz Baba Cup Games were designated well in advance. There were many who decided to concentrate on Ramiz Baba Challenge than on Ramiz Baba Cup, to avoid distractions and complications.

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After Game 30, I was Rank 1. Excellent lawyers, Chaitanya Ramachandran, Yaman Verma, Mihira SoodVrinda Bhandari participated. They for sure gambled chances. After Game 60, IPL [2019] Final, I was Rank 13 in Ramiz Baba Challenge. There are several things to state further as concerning (the additional) Ramiz Baba Cup, which I haven’t won for certain! There were slight alterations of procedure, that are best left for understanding during World Cup [2019].

Ramiz Baba Challenge is not an easy game. The following may enlighten a reader on fluctuations of intent.

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Last Year, Rank 1 had correctly picked a winner of a game 36 times. This Year, Rank 4 & Rank 39 correctly picked a winner of a game 38 times. Most number of correct picks thus increased, though it did not ensure being Rank 1. Last Year, Rank 13 had .257 as his final score. This Year, Rank 13 had .237 as his final score. The competition was stiff.

After Game 17, Top 20:

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After Game 60, Top 20:

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The change of names, over time, only prove ‘skill without luck’ or ‘luck without skill’ is meaningless. All in all it’s just another brick in the wall. Several IPL Followers preferred Dream 11 over Ramiz Baba Challenge. Cricket lovers don’t watch cricket for money only. We wait for reportage on our humble attempt.

My Lord, Ramiz Baba?

Ramiz Baba is a pseudonym for a NLISU, 2010 Graduate; Poker Champion; Grandson of Former SC Judge. I’m gonna make him an offer he can’t refuse.